Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 26

Aug 19, 2021 at 12am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 0
Toronto

Barco (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Toronto
59.84%	22.73%	17.43%

Both teams to score 48.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.72%

50.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.77%

72.22%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57%

16.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.9%

46.09%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.54%

42.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.17%

78.83%

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 59.82%

Toronto 17.43%

Draw 22.73%

Atlanta United	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 59.82%	1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.43%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Toronto

Atlanta United

75.0%

Draw

15.9%

Toronto

9.1%