Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23

Aug 8, 2021 at 1am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
NY City

Laryea (49'), Pozuelo (55')
Soteldo (25'), Laryea (36'), Priso-Mbongue (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rodriguez (12'), Tajouri (21')
Morales (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New York City FC
26.11%	23.54%	50.35%

Both teams to score 57.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.45%

43.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06%

65.94%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6%

66.4%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61%

17.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19%

47.8%

Score Analysis

Toronto 26.11%

New York City FC 50.35%

Draw 23.54%

Toronto	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.11%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.35%

How you voted: Toronto vs NY City

Toronto

10.0%

Draw

35.0%

New York City FC

55.0%