Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 47.36% | 24.91% | 27.73% |
| Both teams to score 54.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% | 48.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% | 70.49% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% | 20.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% | 52.92% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% | 31.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.44% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.73% |