Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 64.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 64.14% | 21.11% | 14.76% |
| Both teams to score 47.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% | 48.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% | 70.43% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% | 14.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.78% | 42.22% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% | 44.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.23% | 80.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.41% Total : 64.13% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 5.16% 1-2 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 2.07% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.76% |