Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 44.16% | 26.87% | 28.97% |
| Both teams to score 49.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% | 55.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% | 76.7% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% | 24.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.35% | 59.65% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.97% |