Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
| 55.44% | 24.39% | 20.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% | 53.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% | 74.63% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% | 19.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% | 50.61% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% | 40.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.5% | 77.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 5.3% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.99% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.17% |