Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 25.65% | 25.98% | 48.37% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% | 54.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% | 75.49% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% | 36.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% | 73.03% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% | 22.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% | 55.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.65% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 12.14% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.37% |