Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39

Oct 17, 2021 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), (90+8'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
49.68%	23.99%	26.33%

Both teams to score 56.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63%

45.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29%

67.7%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67%

18.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.56%

49.43%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97%

31.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66%

67.34%

Score Analysis

Toronto 49.68%

Atlanta United 26.33%

Draw 23.99%

Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.68%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.33%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto

12.5%

Draw

25.0%

Atlanta United

62.5%