Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38

Oct 3, 2021 at 9pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Delgado (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Soteldo (70')
Soteldo (9'), Laryea (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Beric (16')
Offor (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
52.85%	23.75%	23.4%

Both teams to score 54.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02%

46.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.78%

69.22%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27%

17.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6%

48.4%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Toronto 52.85%

Chicago Fire 23.4%

Draw 23.75%

Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.85%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.4%

How you voted: Toronto vs Chicago Fire

Toronto

66.7%

Draw

33.3%

Chicago Fire

0.0%