Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (8.6%).
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 48% | 26.48% | 25.52% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% | 56.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% | 77.12% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% | 23.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% | 57.35% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% | 37.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% | 74.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% 2-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.52% |