Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 3' goal
  • Sean Nealis 16' yellowcard
  • Sean Davis 21' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 34'
  • yellowcard Malte Amundsen 82'

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 9, 2021 11.00pm
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 Inter Miami
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Patryk Klimala

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 3, 2021 5.00pm
NY City 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

New York Red Bulls 34.87%
Draw 27.93%
New York City FC 37.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.96%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.97%
Under 2.5 58.03%
Over 3.5 21.29%
Under 3.5 78.71%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 68.53%
Under 0.5 31.48%
Over 1.5 32.14%
Under 1.5 67.86%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 69.99%
Under 0.5 30.01%
Over 1.5 33.87%
Under 1.5 66.14%

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 34.87%
Draw 27.93%
New York City FC 37.19%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 37.19%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Sands 62' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 13'
  • goal Omir Fernandez 43'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Sep 23, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean Davis 45' yellowcard
  • Andres Reyes 61' yellowcard
  • Patryk Klimala 80' yellowcard
  • Kyle Duncan 82' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 84' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 85' yellowcard
  • Patryk Klimala 90'+12' goal
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 21'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 31'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 44'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 45'
  • redcard Keaton Parks 73'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 84'
  • redcard Maxime Chanot 90'+10'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Nov 2, 2020 12.00am
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Valentin Castellanos 12' goal
  • Gary Mackay-Steven 42' goal
  • Alexander Ring 51' goal
  • Keaton Parks 68' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 70' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 76' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 84' goal
  • goal Brian White 18'
  • goal Cristian Casseres Jr 38'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 41'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 38
Aug 24, 2020 12.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2020 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Kyle Duncan 59' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
May 31, 2020 8.00pm