Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40

Oct 17, 2021 at 6pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
NY City

Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	New York City FC
34.87%	27.93%	37.2%

Both teams to score 47.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.97%

58.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29%

78.71%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53%

31.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14%

67.86%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99%

30.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87%

66.14%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 34.87%

New York City FC 37.19%

Draw 27.93%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.19%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs NY City

New York Red Bulls

76.2%

Draw

14.3%

New York City FC

9.5%