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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 36
Sep 30, 2021 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
New York City

Chicago Fire
2 - 0
NY City

Beric (48'), Navarro (66')
Navarro (16'), Gimenez (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (10'), Acevedo (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
30.79%23.76%45.45%
Both teams to score 60.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55%41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15%63.85%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1%25.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11%60.88%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51%18.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.3%49.7%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 30.79%
    New York City FC 45.45%
    Draw 23.75%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 7.38%
1-0 @ 6.47%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 45.45%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY City

Chicago Fire
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
New York City FC
62.5%
16
rhs 2.0


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