Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29

Sep 4, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
3 - 1
NY City

Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Muyl (71'), Williams (73'), Haakenson (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Castellanos (90')
Medina (38'), Castellanos (64'), Acevedo (73')
Moralez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
37.39%	26.63%	35.98%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15%

52.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53%

74.46%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61%

27.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14%

62.85%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07%

63.92%

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 37.39%

New York City FC 35.98%

Draw 26.62%

Nashville SC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.39%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.98%