Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
46.37% | 23.18% | 30.44% |
Both teams to score 62.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.12% | 38.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.8% | 61.19% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% | 17.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.67% | 47.33% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% | 24.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% | 59.44% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.13% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |