Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 40.67% | 26.62% | 32.71% |
| Both teams to score 51.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% | 60.71% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% | 30.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% | 66.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.71% |