Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33

Sep 19, 2021 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 1
Nashville

Shaffelburg (18'), Gonzalez (79')
Bradley (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sapong (74')
Lovitz (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Nashville SC
36.44%	27.97%	35.59%

Both teams to score 47.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86%

58.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2%

78.8%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47%

30.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.24%

66.76%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94%

31.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.62%

67.38%

Score Analysis

Toronto 36.44%

Nashville SC 35.59%

Draw 27.96%

Toronto	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.44%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Toronto vs Nashville

Toronto

14.8%

Draw

14.8%

Nashville SC

70.4%