Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44

Nov 7, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
61.39%	20.2%	18.4%

Both teams to score 58.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.46%

37.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.23%

59.77%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19%

11.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.97%

37.03%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21%

33.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55%

70.45%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 61.4%

Philadelphia Union 18.4%

Draw 20.2%

New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 7.04% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.76% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 4.2% Total : 61.4%	1-1 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.99% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.2%	1-2 @ 5.02% 0-1 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.4%

How you voted: NY City vs Philadelphia

New York City FC

75.0%

Draw

25.0%

Philadelphia Union

0.0%