Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40

Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 1
NY City

Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
44.13%	25.78%	30.09%

Both teams to score 53.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28%

50.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38%

72.62%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1%

22.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34%

56.65%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99%

31.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68%

67.31%

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 44.12%

New York City FC 30.09%

Draw 25.77%

Atlanta United	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.12%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.09%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY City

Atlanta United

65.5%

Draw

20.0%

New York City FC

14.5%