Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Castellanos (51' pen.)
Castellanos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pineda (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
73.78%	15.49%	10.72%

Both teams to score 54.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.82%

32.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.22%

53.77%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.54%

7.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.19%

26.81%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.3%

40.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.71%

77.28%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 73.78%

Chicago Fire 10.72%

Draw 15.49%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 5.75% 4-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 3.58% 5-0 @ 2.99% 5-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.53% Total : 73.78%	1-1 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 4.13% 0-0 @ 3.03% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.49%	1-2 @ 3.18% 0-1 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.39% Total : 10.72%