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Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41
Oct 24, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
DC United

NY City
6 - 0
DC United

Andrade (1'), Castellanos (7', 11'), Moralez (44'), Callens (52'), Medina (75', 75')
Sands (33')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Canouse (3'), Birnbaum (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
67.99%18.2%13.81%
Both teams to score 54.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77%37.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56%59.45%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.98%10.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.93%33.08%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.79%39.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07%75.93%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 67.99%
    DC United 13.81%
    Draw 18.2%
New York City FCDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 4.59%
4-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.49%
5-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.98%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 67.99%
1-1 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 4.56%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.2%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 3.68%
0-2 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.81%

How you voted: NY City vs DC United

New York City FC
31.3%
Draw
37.5%
DC United
31.3%
16