Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35

Sep 30, 2021 at 12.30am UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
3 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Kamara (23' pen.), Gressel (45'), Moreno (85')
Birnbaum (59'), Arriola (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dibassy (40')
Hayes (18'), Trapp (43'), Kallman (79'), Gasper (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Minnesota United
54.45%	23.4%	22.15%

Both teams to score 53.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21%

46.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96%

69.05%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93%

17.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.74%

47.26%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62%

35.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86%

72.14%

Score Analysis

DC United 54.45%

Minnesota United 22.15%

Draw 23.39%

DC United	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.44% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.15%