Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 50.25% | 23.16% | 26.6% |
| Both teams to score 59.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% | 41.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% | 63.79% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% | 16.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% | 46.45% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% | 64.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.6% |