Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
50.25% | 23.16% | 26.6% |
Both teams to score 59.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% | 41.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.21% | 63.79% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% | 16.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.55% | 46.45% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% | 28.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% | 64.57% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |