Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 51.06% | 25.68% | 23.26% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% | 76.11% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% | 21.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.45% | 54.55% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% | 38.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% | 75.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 12.82% 2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.49% Total : 23.26% |