| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 43.23% | 27.51% | 29.25% |
| Both teams to score 47.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% | 57.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% | 78.51% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% | 26.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% | 61.68% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% | 35.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% | 72.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.25% |