| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
| 63.44% | 20.5% | 16.06% |
| Both teams to score 52.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% | 43.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% | 65.59% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% | 12.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.55% | 39.44% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 10.8% 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 6.76% 4-0 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.19% Total : 63.43% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.5% | 0-1 @ 4.75% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.06% |