Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.