Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.