Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.