Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
38.46% | 25.59% | 35.95% |
Both teams to score 55.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% | 48.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% | 70.53% |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% | 24.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% | 59.28% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% | 26.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% | 61.18% |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |