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Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38
Oct 3, 2021 at 3am UK
Empire Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Vancouver
3 - 0
Earthquakes

White (26', 59', 73')
Owusu (19'), Jungwirth (57'), Brown (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Remedi (57'), Cardoso (79'), Salinas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
43.99%25%31.02%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77%69.23%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63%54.37%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51%28.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74%64.26%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 43.99%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.02%
    Draw 25%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.02%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Earthquakes

Vancouver Whitecaps
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
San Jose Earthquakes
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0


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