Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33

Sep 16, 2021 at 3.30am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 4
Salt Lake

Lopez (26', 50', 65')
Judson (59'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (72'), (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rubin (45+2', 81'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (71')
Besler (8'), Rusnak (62'), Toia (65'), Ruiz (67'), Kreilach (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
49.74%	23.99%	26.27%

Both teams to score 56.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6%

45.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27%

67.73%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68%

18.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59%

49.41%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92%

31.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59%

67.4%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 49.74%

Real Salt Lake 26.27%

Draw 23.98%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.74%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes

57.1%

Draw

32.1%

Real Salt Lake

10.7%