Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 57.44% | 22.34% | 20.22% |
| Both teams to score 54.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% | 66.99% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% | 15.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.01% | 43.99% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% | 36.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.72% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.22% |