Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 40.41% | 24.66% | 34.93% |
| Both teams to score 58.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% | 44.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% | 66.66% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% | 21.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% | 55.17% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% | 24.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% | 59.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.93% |