Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28

Aug 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 2
Dallas

Picault (25' pen.), Vera (72')
Urruti (82'), Ceren (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Burgess (54'), Pepi (58')
Cerrillo (15'), Schon (30'), Acosta (65'), Hedges (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Dallas
49.45%	24.91%	25.65%

Both teams to score 52.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2%

49.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2%

71.8%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84%

20.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.55%

52.45%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06%

33.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39%

70.61%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 49.44%

Dallas 25.65%

Draw 24.9%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.44%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.65%

How you voted: Houston vs Dallas

Houston Dynamo

37.5%

Draw

12.5%

Dallas

50.0%