Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 47.1% | 25.52% | 27.38% |
| Both teams to score 52.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% | 72.95% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% | 54.85% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% | 33.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% | 69.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.35% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.94% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.38% |