Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.