Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 62.62% | 18.99% | 18.39% |
| Both teams to score 63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.39% | 31.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.89% | 53.11% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.26% | 9.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.56% | 32.44% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% | 30.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% | 66.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.85% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-2 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 4.32% 4-0 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.68% 5-2 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.76% Total : 62.62% | 1-1 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-1 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.6% Total : 18.39% |