Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.