Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 37

Oct 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Dominguez (17', 55')
Pereira (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kreilach (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
45.96%	22.33%	31.71%

Both teams to score 66.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.93%

34.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.05%

55.95%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58%

15.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.75%

44.25%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25%

21.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07%

54.93%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 45.96%

Real Salt Lake 31.71%

Draw 22.33%

Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-3 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.49% Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Austin vs Salt Lake

Austin FC

11.5%

Draw

19.2%

Real Salt Lake

69.2%