Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 30

Sep 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
3 - 0
Austin

Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
54.41%	23.6%	21.99%

Both teams to score 52.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.17%

47.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.99%

70.02%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53%

17.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04%

47.96%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89%

36.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11%

72.9%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 54.4%

Austin FC 21.99%

Draw 23.6%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.67% Total : 54.4%	1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Houston vs Austin

Houston Dynamo

21.4%

Draw

21.4%

Austin FC

57.1%