Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28

Aug 22, 2021 at 2am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
3 - 1
Portland

Dominguez (11' pen.), Fagundez (14'), Driussi (29')
Pochettino (83')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Asprilla (55')
Zuparic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
40.29%	23.8%	35.91%

Both teams to score 62.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.97%

40.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.6%

62.39%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86%

20.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59%

52.41%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72%

22.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26%

55.74%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 40.29%

Portland Timbers 35.91%

Draw 23.8%

Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.65% 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.91%

How you voted: Austin vs Portland

Austin FC

8.3%

Draw

25.0%

Portland Timbers

66.7%