Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 44.54% | 22.61% | 32.84% |
| Both teams to score 65.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% | 34.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% | 16.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.15% | 45.85% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% | 21.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% | 54.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 6.37% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.68% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.58% Total : 32.84% |