Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 28.11% | 22.48% | 49.4% |
| Both teams to score 63.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.81% | 59.18% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% | 25.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% | 60.19% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% | 15.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.97% | 44.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.85% 1-0 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.12% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 4.03% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.01% Total : 49.4% |