Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 46.58% | 23.84% | 29.57% |
| Both teams to score 59.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% | 64.9% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% | 18.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% | 49.62% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% | 27.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% | 62.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.5% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.57% |