Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33

Sep 20, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arango (27' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Los Angeles FC
29.95%	23.28%	46.77%

Both teams to score 61.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36%

39.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01%

61.99%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.39%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74%

17.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42%

47.58%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 29.95%

Los Angeles FC 46.77%

Draw 23.27%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.21% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.95%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 9.28% 0-1 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.63% Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.77%

How you voted: Portland vs Los Angeles

Portland Timbers

45.5%

Draw

30.3%

Los Angeles FC

24.2%