| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 18.45% | 20.99% | 60.56% |
| Both teams to score 55.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% | 41.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% | 63.57% |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% | 72.68% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% | 13.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.12% | 39.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 5.03% 1-0 @ 4.85% 2-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.64% Total : 18.45% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.72% 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-3 @ 6.73% 0-3 @ 6.56% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 3.41% 0-4 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.36% Total : 60.56% |