| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 9.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 72.99% | 17.11% | 9.89% |
| Both teams to score 45.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% | 42.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% | 65.22% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% | 10.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.35% | 33.65% |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.46% | 49.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.66% | 84.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 2-0 @ 13.17% 1-0 @ 11.58% 3-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 5.69% 4-1 @ 4% 5-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.4% 6-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.02% Total : 72.99% | 1-1 @ 8.14% 0-0 @ 5.09% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.64% Total : 17.11% | 0-1 @ 3.57% 1-2 @ 2.86% 0-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.89% |