Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 52.7% | 24.42% | 22.87% |
| Both teams to score 51.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% | 50.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% | 72.23% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% | 19.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% | 50.61% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% | 36.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% | 73.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.87% |