Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 31.72% | 25.53% | 42.74% |
| Both teams to score 54.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% | 49.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% | 71.14% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% | 29.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% | 64.97% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% | 22.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% | 56.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.74% |