Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 62.76% | 20.94% | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score 51.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% | 44.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% | 13.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.22% | 40.78% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% | 40.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% | 77.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 11% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.59% 4-0 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.88% Total : 62.75% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 1% Total : 20.94% | 0-1 @ 4.99% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.3% |