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Major League Soccer
Nov 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Atlanta United

NY City
2 - 0
Atlanta

Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
62.76%20.94%16.3%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38%13.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.22%40.78%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49%40.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88%77.12%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 62.75%
    Atlanta United 16.3%
    Draw 20.94%
New York City FCDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 11%
2-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.75%
1-1 @ 9.94%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.94%
0-1 @ 4.99%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.25%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.3%

How you voted: NY City vs Atlanta

New York City FC
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
20.0%
15