| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 45.32% | 25.74% | 28.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% | 51.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% | 72.98% |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% | 22.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% | 56.09% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% | 32.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% | 68.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.94% |